Beranda

RESEARCH

Company Update

17 Juli 2024

Fixed Income Report July 17, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street extended its gains on July 16, as the DJIA surged by +1.85%, the S&P 500 climbed by +0.64% and the Nasdaq advanced by +0.20%.
• Stock indexes closed higher with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones reaching new all-time highs. Bank of America surged over +5% after strong Q2 net interest income and a positive Q4 forecast. Lower bond yields, with the 10-year T-note yield hitting a 4-month low, also supported the market.
• The 10-yr UST yields dropped by -6.0 bps to 4.17%, while the 2-yr yields edged down by -1.0 bps to 4.43%. Treasuries climbed at the opening on Tuesday, aided by strong European bond markets, and increased further after the July NAHB housing market index unexpectedly decreased to a 7-month low.
• US June retail sales remained flat in monthly basis, better than the expected -0.3% MoM decline. Moreover, June retail sales excluding autos increased by +0.4% MoM, exceeding the forecasted +0.1% MoM growth.
• The US June import price index (excluding petroleum) witnessed an upward revision, rising +0.2% MoM, which stands in contrast to the anticipated -0.2% MoM decline.
• The US July NAHB housing market index defied expectations, plummeting by 1 point to a 7-month low of 42. This represents a significant downturn from the anticipated flat reading of 43.
• In Europe, the July survey of the German ZEW economic sentiment index indicated deteriorating economic expectations, with the index falling 5.7 points to a 4-month low of 41.8, exceeding expectations of 41.0.
• Global bond yields moved lower on Tuesday: the 10-yr German bund yield fell by -4.5 bps to 2.42%, the 10-yr UK gilt yield slipped by -5.2 bps to 4.05%, and the Japanese 10-yr JGB yield declined by -3.6 bps to 1.03%.
 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian benchmark series of LCY government bond moved higher on July 16, with the 10-yr benchmark yield slid by -0.50 bps to 6.94%, while the 2-yr yield fell by -0.50 bps to 6.68%.
• The IDR's value dipped against the USD on Tuesday (USD/IDR +0.06% to 16,180) as market participants adopted a cautious stance ahead of the upcoming Bank Indonesia (BI) Board of Governors meeting, where the benchmark interest rate is expected to remain unchanged.
• The SBSN auction on Tuesday saw higher demand, garnering total bids of IDR27.70tn, a notable increase from the prior auctions IDR17.99tn. PBS038 received the highest awarded amount of IDR5.50tn, with a weighted average yield of 6.80% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.27, out of a total awarded sum of IDR10.00tn.
• In Tuesday's Indo-GB series trading, FR0100, PBS032, and PBS030 attracted significant interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of IDR2.60tn, IDR2.56tn, and IDR2.55tn, respectively. Additionally, PBS032, FR0100, and PBS038 were the most frequently traded series. 

Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.85-7.10% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0081, FR0084, FR0065, FR0075 , FR0098, FR0092. 
 
 
Disclaimer On

FR81 FR84 FR65 FR75 FR98 FR92

Back Download PDF
Copyright © 2024 MNC Sekuritas. All Right Reserved. A Member of MNC Group