Beranda

RESEARCH

Company Update

05 September 2024

Fixed Income Report September 05, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street ended mixed on September 4, as the DJIA edging up by +0.09%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declined by -0.16%, and -0.30%, respectively.
• Stocks rebounded Wednesday from early losses as the 10-year T-note yield hit a 2-week low, prompting short covering after US July JOLTS job openings fell more than expected. However, stocks turned mixed later, weighed down by negative corporate news.
• The 10-yr UST yield declined by -7.0 bps to 3.77%, while the 2-yr yield tumbled by -12.0 bps to 3.76%. T-notes rallied Wednesday, and yields fell as US July JOLTS job openings dropped more than expected, with further gains on the Fed Beige Book's report of declining US economic activity, a dovish signal for Fed policy.
• The US JOLTS job openings in July declined by -237,000 to 7.673 million, the lowest level in 3.5 years, indicating a softer labor market than the anticipated 8.100 million.
• The US trade deficit widened to USD78.8 billion in July from USD73.0 billion in June, marking the largest deficit in two years and posing a negative factor for 3Q24 GDP.
• The Euro Area saw producer prices decrease by -2.1% YoY in July 2024, the smallest drop since deflation began in May 2023, after a downwardly revised -3.3% fall in June. Monthly PPI rose +0.8% MoM, the highest increase since December 2022 (Eurostat).
• In Asia, The Caixin China General Services PMI fell to 51.6 in August 2024, down from 52.1 in July and below market expectations of 52.2 (S&P Global).
• Global bond yields moved lower on Wednesday: the 10-yr German bund yield slid by -5.2 bps to 2.22%, the 10-yr UK gilt yield fell by -5.5 bps to 3.93%, and the 10-yr Japanese JGB tumbled by -4.2 bps to 0.88%.
 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian series of local currency government bond moved lower on September 4, with the 10-yr yield edged up by +0.3 bps to 6.65%, while the 2-yr yield rose by +2.7 bps to 6.44%.
• The IDR appreciatedagainst the USD on Wednesday, with USD/IDR fallingby -0.29% to IDR15,475 as the DXY weakened by -0.19 % to 101.63.
• According to Bank Indonesia, Indonesia's International Investment Position (PII) in Q2 2024 recorded a net liability of USD 247.3 billion, down from USD 253.9 billion in Q1 2024. This decrease was driven by an increase in Foreign Financial Assets (AKFN) and a reduction in Foreign Financial Liabilities (KFLN).
• In Wednesday's Indo-GB series trading, FR0103, FR0100, and FR0097 attracted notable interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of IDR2.59 trillion, IDR1.90 trillion, and IDR1.64 trillion, respectively. Additionally, PBS032, PBS038, and FR0081 were the most frequently traded series.
 
Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.55-6.75% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0081, FR0056, FR0099, FR0087, FR0074. 
 
 
 Disclaimer On

FR81 FR56 FR99 FR87 FR74

Back Download PDF
Copyright © 2024 MNC Sekuritas. All Right Reserved. A Member of MNC Group