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Company Update

04 September 2024

Fixed Income Report September 4, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street slid in early trading on September 3, as the DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq declined by -1.51%, -2.12%, and -3.26% respectively.
• Stocks tumbled on Tuesday, driven by a sharp drop in chip stocks and a 3% fall in crude oil prices to an 8-month low, which weighed on energy stocks. The broader market was further weighed down by weaker-than-expected ISM manufacturing and construction spending reports.
• The 10-yr UST yield dipped by -7.0 bps to 3.84%, while the 2-yr yield fell by -3.0 bps to 3.84%. Tuesday's sharp stock selloff triggered safe-haven buying of T-notes, but supply pressures persist with up to USD55 billion in corporate debt expected this week, prompting bond dealers to short T-notes as a hedge.
• The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose slightly to 47.2 in August 2024 from 46.8 in the previous month, still below market expectations of 47.5.
• US construction spending dropped by -0.3% MoM to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of USD2,162 billion in July 2024, after an upwardly revised flat reading, falling short of market expectations.
• Meanwhile in Asia, the au Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI was revised down to 53.7 in August 2024 from the preliminary estimate of 54.0, marking the seventh expansion in the service sector this year.
• Global bond yields moved higher on Tuesday: the 10-yr German bund yield declined -6.1 bps to 2.27%, the 10-yr UK gilt yield fell by -6.5 bps to 3.99%, and the 10-yr Japanese JGB rose by +1.3 bps to 0.93%.
 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian series of local currency government bond were mixed on September 3, with the 10-yr yield rose by +1.0 bps to 6.65%, while the 2-yr yield fell by -1.0 bps to 6.42%.
• The IDR moved flat against the USD on Tuesday, with USD/IDR edging up by +0.01% to IDR15,525 as the DXY closed slightly higher by +0.03% to 101.69.
• In Tuesday’s SUN auction, investors secured IDR22.0 trillion in winning bids from a total of IDR45.48 trillion. The auction included new issuances of SPN03241204 and SPN12250904 as well as the reopening of FR0104, FR0103, FR0098, FR0097, and FR0102. Notably, FR0103 received the highest awarded bid, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.55, securing IDR9.25 trillion from a total bid of IDR14.30 trillion.
• In Tuesday's Indo-GB series trading, FR0103, FR0104, and FR0102 attracted notable interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of IDR5.81 trillion, IDR3.79 trillion, and IDR2.25 trillion, respectively. Additionally, PBS032, PBS038, and FR01 were the most frequently traded series.
 
Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.55-6.75% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0081, FR0084, FR0056, FR0099, FR0074. 
 
 
 Disclaimer On

FR81 FR84 FR56 FR99 FR74

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